The incomparable Douglas Adams once said “I love deadlines. I like the whooshing sound they make as they fly by.” So, indeed, as today is the election, I’ve almost run out of time to post my pre-election thoughts before they turn into post-election reactions.
Overall, I honestly don’t expect this election to change a whole lot in parliament: I predict another Conservative minority government, which leaves us with pretty much the exact same situation as before: the Conservatives form the government, and Harper remains as PM – but not having enough seats to force their own legislation through the House of Commons means that the other parties can still lambaste the Conservatives for not doing enough, while simultaneously blocking them from taking action.
I do think the Conservative party will pick up some seats though. They won 124 last time in 2006, and I’d expect that to increase to 130-something, maybe even push 140. So not enough to gain the magical 155 necessary for a majority, but at least enough to give Conservative supporters something to cheer about. And really, I expect almost all of those Conservative victories to come at the expense of the Liberals. They should almost certainly drop below 100, from their past total of 103 seats in 2006 to somewhere below 90 this time. Pretty good score for a rookie golfer, not so good for Stéphane Dion.
